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search","searches":12,"listings":119,"sellers":63,"kinds":{"count":{"gamma":-0.2492,"range95":[-0.9201,0.4216],"odds":0.779,"sign":0,"listings":17,"sellers":11,"weeks_same_sign":0},"standing":{"under":5,"listings":7},"endorsement":{"under":5,"listings":4},"authority":{"under":5,"listings":2}},"controls":{"log_calls":{"gamma":0.3698,"range95":[0.1809,0.5587],"odds":1.447,"sign":1},"log_price":{"gamma":0.1443,"range95":[-0.0542,0.3428],"odds":1.155,"sign":0}}}],"sentences":[],"stable_weeks":4}},"headline":"Real demand: 189,205 payments from 4,361 buyers in 30 days. Catalog sweeps were 2% of the payments to the 306 Bazaar sellers counted.","restated":{"from_version":"1.5","on":"2026-11-10"},"status":"final","fair_offer_live":{"share":0.0,"listings":2115,"basis":"host scan, read live"},"links":{"url":"https://agoranome.com/machines/payments/2026-W45","json":"https://agoranome.com/machines/payments/2026-W45.json","csv":"https://agoranome.com/machines/payments/2026-W45.csv","image":"https://agoranome.com/machines/payments/2026-W45.png","method":"https://agoranome.com/machines/payments/method","rss":"https://agoranome.com/machines/payments/feed.xml","feed":"https://agoranome.com/machines/payments/feed.json","dataset":"https://agoranome.com/machines/payments/dataset.jsonl","chart":"https://agoranome.com/machines/payments/chart.svg","safety":"https://agoranome.com/machines/payments/seller-safety.jsonl"},"cite":{"text":"Agoranome Weekly, Agent payments weekly, 2026-W45 (method v1.6), https://agoranome.com/machines/payments/2026-W45, CC BY 4.0.","bibtex":"@misc{agoranome_weekly_2026_w45,\n  author = {{Agoranome}},\n  title = {{Agent payments weekly, 2026-W45}},\n  year = {2026},\n  url = {https://agoranome.com/machines/payments/2026-W45},\n  note = {Method v1.6. CC BY 4.0}\n}","credit":"Source: Agoranome Weekly"},"licence":"CC BY 4.0","licence_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","disclosure":"Agoranome sells tools to x402 sellers and buyers. Its own hosts and wallets are left out of every count, and no figure here is its revenue.","funding":"Agoranome Weekly is free to read and reuse. Agoranome takes no sponsors and takes grants only for named public work, with each one in its open book: agents pay for the Lab's tools per call, and no payment or grant changes a number.","definitions":[{"term":"Real demand","definition":"USDC payments on Base into the pay-to addresses of the 500 busiest x402 Bazaar sellers over 30 days, minus payments from catalog sweeps and from a seller's own pay-to address. Real buyers are the wallets with at least one such payment, each counted once."},{"term":"Catalog sweep","definition":"A wallet that paid a seller in one session and, within an hour, paid 5 or more of the other sellers counted: a bot paying the catalog once, not a buyer. A wallet that paid a seller in two or more sessions, more than 30 minutes apart, is never a sweep there."},{"term":"Not counted","definition":"A pay-to address that more than one seller lists (a platform's, whose payments can't be told apart), one that takes more than 20,000 transfers in 30 days (an exchange's), and Agoranome's own hosts and wallets. Every USDC transfer into a counted address counts, not only x402 payments."},{"term":"Listings and sellers","definition":"Paid endpoints in the x402 Bazaar's index on the day of the week's snapshot (Mondays), and the distinct hosts that serve them. New sellers are hosts not in the week before's snapshot."},{"term":"4-week survival","definition":"Of the listings that first appeared four weeks earlier (in that week's snapshot and not the one before), the share still listed this week."},{"term":"Survival curve","definition":"The listings new in each of the eight weeks before (as for 4-week survival), and the sellers new in each (hosts in that week's snapshot and not the one before), pooled: of those whose week is at least n weeks back, the share still listed n weeks after they first appeared, for n from one to four. Only snapshots up to the edition's own week are read, so a final edition's curve never changes. A week whose snapshot or the one before is missing or empty starts no cohort."},{"term":"Price index","definition":"p10, median and p90 of the USDC price per call across listings with 3 or more payers in 30 days, overall and for each category with 3 or more such listings."},{"term":"Fair Offer share","definition":"The share of listings whose 402 offer carries a Fair Offer block, as the index keeps it."},{"term":"Fair Offer share, read live","definition":"The share of the listings the Tuesday host scan asked, unpaid, whose 402 carried a Fair Offer block. Once the scan is in, the headline and the numbers under it use this one: the index's flag can drop the block."},{"term":"Seller health","definition":"The same busiest sellers as real demand, as the Tuesday host scan read them: an unpaid request to each seller's 5 busiest listings and one picked at random, a failing one asked twice. A listing a buyer agent could pay answered with a 402 whose payment requirements decode. Price, pay-to and test-network counts are of those payable answers, against what the Bazaar index lists. A seller fails most of its sample when more than half of its listings asked couldn't be paid. Counts only: no seller is named."},{"term":"SDK downloads","definition":"npm's and PyPI's public download counts over 30 days for the x402 SDK packages. Downloads include CI runs and mirrors, so they show how much is built, not who builds."},{"term":"Concentration","definition":"The share of the paid calls the Bazaar index counts over 30 days that went to the top 1% of listings (rounded up, so at least one), and to the top 1% of sellers, each seller's listings summed. The index's call counts include catalog sweeps, so this is how concentrated calls are, not buyers."},{"term":"Listing survival","definition":"Of every listing in the snapshot four weeks before, new or not, the share still listed this week: the nearest the Monday snapshots come to 30 days."},{"term":"Monoculture index","definition":"In the newest Machine Choice Benchmark report, of the layouts two or more buyer-agent models answered (each sees the same offers in the same order), the share where every one picked the same offer, beside the share expected if each picked at random. Below 30 layouts the share isn't given. Beside it, how many of the panel's models moved their choices 25 points or more since the report before, and how many models changed between the two reports. When the models agree, a release can move a whole market at once."},{"term":"Pay on delivery","definition":"Facilitators whose public /supported list, read on Tuesday, offers x402's auth-capture scheme on Base: a payment held until the route delivers, then captured or released. The facilitators read are listed on the method page; those that list it are named, the rest counted."},{"term":"Our own indexes","definition":"Counts from Agoranome's own pages that Tuesday: the Buyer Safety Index's named clients, the admission feed's sellers, the MCP server report cards and the newest price-of-proof run, so each week keeps a dated record of them. Counts only: none is named here."},{"term":"Entry rate","definition":"Of the sellers (hosts) in the Bazaar snapshot four weeks before and not in the one before it, the share whose listings show at least one payer this week, as the index counts payers over 30 days. The index's payers include catalog sweeps."},{"term":"HHI","definition":"The Herfindahl-Hirschman index of the index's paid calls over 30 days: the sum of each listing's (or seller's) squared share. 1 is one taking every call; near 0 is calls spread evenly."},{"term":"Cue load","definition":"The share of every listing whose description makes each kind of claim the Buyer check labels: a count, a standing claim, an endorsement, urgency, an authority claim, a pledge or an instruction to a buyer agent. Urgency and instructions are steering cues. A claim is counted, never judged true or false here."},{"term":"Vendor agreement","definition":"In the newest Machine Choice Benchmark report, of the layouts that models from two or more vendors answered (each sees the same offers in the same order), the share where the vendors picked the same offer. A layout where one vendor's own models split is left out. Given from 30 layouts compared, overall and by category, beside the share chance alone would give. With it, Krippendorff's alpha (nominal, 1 minus observed over expected disagreement) between the vendors and across the panelists, and the effective number of independent buyers each is worth, m / (1 + (m - 1) alpha). A panelist that reads offers as claim labels sees the same layouts without the sellers' words. No vendor or model is named."},{"term":"Cue advantage in rank","definition":"For each category, an exploded (rank-ordered) logit over the week's category searches on a directory's public search: rank 1 picked from every listing shown, rank 2 from the rest, and so on, on log 30-day calls, log price and whether the description makes each kind of claim. Gamma is a claim's coefficient: above zero, listings making it are placed ahead of listings with the same calls and price. Given with its 95% range, from five sellers with the claim and five without; four weeks above zero becomes a sentence. The directory is named only after notice."},{"term":"Small cells","definition":"No share in the fairness section rests on fewer than five sellers: such a cell says \"under 5 sellers\" and no more, so no seller can be picked out."}],"referees":{"ours":{"window_days":30,"payments":193920,"payers":4380,"real_payments":189205,"real_payers":4361,"sellers":306},"trackers":[{"id":"x402scan","name":"x402scan","url":"https://www.x402scan.com","counts":"x402 transactions settled through the facilitators it indexes, with volume, buyers and sellers.","differs":"It counts every settlement it indexes. Its pages don't say that catalog sweeps or a seller's own payments are taken out.","credit":"x402scan","reading":null},{"id":"x402stats","name":"x402stats","url":"https://x402stats.ai","counts":"x402 payments on Base, with volume, payments, services and buyers over 24 hours, 7 days, 30 days and all time, attributed to the facilitators it recognizes.","differs":"It counts every payment it attributes to a facilitator. Its pages don't say that catalog sweeps or a seller's own payments are taken out.","credit":"x402stats","reading":null},{"id":"allium","name":"Allium","url":"https://docs.allium.so/historical-data/agents/x402/metrics-overview","counts":"x402 facilitator transactions on every chain it covers, with unique senders and receivers over 7, 30 and 90 days, read by query.","differs":"It covers every chain, not only Base, and every facilitator transaction. Its documentation doesn't mention taking out catalog sweeps or a seller's own payments.","credit":"Allium","reading":null},{"id":"agent402","name":"Agent402","url":"https://agent402.tools/economy","counts":"Settled payments from outside buyers on Agent402's own marketplace over 30 days; separately, every gasless USDC transfer on Base.","differs":"Its marketplace count covers only sellers reached through Agent402, and its Base figure counts every gasless USDC transfer, not only x402 payments. It leaves out its own test runs, and doesn't say whether catalog sweeps are.","credit":"Agent402","reading":null},{"id":"agenteconomy_to","name":"agenteconomy.to","url":"https://agenteconomy.to/x402","counts":"x402 transactions and USD settled across the facilitators and chains it tracks, all time and for the latest day, embedded from public Dune dashboards.","differs":"A gross count: its own caveats say raw settlement events can include tests, infrastructure traffic, repeated calls and self-directed use. It doesn't say that catalog sweeps are taken out.","licence":"CC BY 4.0","licence_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","credit":"agenteconomy.to, CC BY 4.0","reading":null},{"id":"agenteconomy_report","name":"agenteconomy.report","url":"https://agenteconomy.report","counts":"Its Agent Economy Index, one number a day: USDC settled to x402 services on Base, Polygon, Arbitrum and Solana, adjusted by its own rules to leave out what it doesn't count as machines paying machines.","differs":"Dollars for one day on four chains, adjusted by its own rules, where real demand counts payments and buyers on Base over 30 days, net of catalog sweeps and sellers' own payments.","licence":"CC BY 4.0","licence_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","credit":"agenteconomy.report, CC BY 4.0","reading":null}],"note":"Each tracker's figure as its own page showed it on the day read, credited to it, under the licence it names. Only the figure is quoted, with a link; no tracker's dataset is copied. The windows differ, so the counts aren't the same thing measured twice."}}